Determinant of The Bitcoin Prices as Alternative Invesment in Indonesia

Gery Andrean

Abstract

The aims of this study to know the determinant that affect bitcoin prices and how bitcoin prices response to the shock from GDP (Gross Domestic Product), inflation, exchange rate, JCI (Jakarta Composite Index. The method that was used in this research was quantitative analysis, with data analysis tools Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Data used in this research was secondary data taken from Bank Indonesia, Bitcoincharts, and Yahoo Finance. The results of this study showed that (1) inflation in short term and in long term has negative significant effect on bitcoin prices, exchange rate in long term has positive significant effect on bitcoin price. In short term and in the long term GDP and JCI do not have significant effect on bitcoin prices (2) The results of IRF shows bitcoin prices respond negatively shock from GDP and exchange rate, while shock from inflation and JCI responded posifively by bitcoin prices.

Keywords

Bitcoin, Virtual Currency, Investment, VECM

Full Text:

PDF

References

Ajija, R. S., Sari, W. D., Setianto, H. R. & Primanti, R. M., 2011. Cara cerdas menguasai Eviews. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.

Bank Indonesia, 2018. Bank Indonesia Memperingatkan Kepada Seluruh Pihak Agar Tidak Menjual, Membeli atau Memperdagangkan Virtual Currency. [Online] Available at: https://www.bi.go.id/id/ruangmedia/siaran-pers/Pages/sp_200418.aspx [Accessed 02 April 2018].

Bitcoinchats, 2018. Price Charts. [Online] Available at:

https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/btcoidID R#tgSzm1g10zm2g25zv [Accessed 26 April 2018].

Bouoiyour, J. & Selmi, R., 2015. What Does Bitcoin Look Like ?. Annals of Economics and Finance, 16(2).

Ciaian, P., Rajcaniova, M. & Kancs, d., 2016. The economics of Bitcoin price formation. Applied Economics, 47(19), pp. 1799-1815.

detikFinance, 2014. Pasar Terbesarnya Tiba-tiba Tutup, Bitcoin Tetap Jadi Idola. [Online] Available at: https://finance.detik.com/moneter/d-

/pasar-terbesarnya-tiba-tiba-tutupbitcoin-tetap-jadi-idola

Febrida, M. & Sebayang, L. K. B., 2016. Analisis Makro Ekonomi Sebelum dan Sesudah Penerapan Redenominasi Mata Uang. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 5(2), pp. 153-162.

Kristoufek, L., 2013. BitCoin meets Google Trends and Wikipedia: Quantifying the relationship between phenomena of the Internet era.

Scientific Reports, 3(3415).

Li, X. & Wang, A. C., 2017. The techonology and economic determinants of cryptocurrency exchange rates: The case of Bitcoin. Decision Support Systems, Issue 95, pp. 49-60.

Nakamoto, S., 2008. Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. [Online] Available at: www.bitcoin.org [Accessed 18 Februari 2018].

Norry, A., 2018. The History of the Mt Gox Hack: Bitcoin’s Biggest Heist. [Online] Available at: https://blockonomi.com/mtgox-hack/

Reese, F., 2017. Bitcoin Market Journal. [Online] Available at:

https://www.bitcoinmarketjournal.com/bitcoin-regulation-by-country/

[Accessed 21 April 2018].

Setyowati, 2018. Jumlah Investor Bitcoin Hampir Menyamai Bursa Efek Indonesia. [Online] Available at: https://katadata.co.id/berita/2018/03/15/jumlah-investor-bitcoin-hampir-menyamaibursa-efek-indonesia

Tesa, S., 2012. Pengaruh Suku Bunga Internasional (LIBOR), Nilai Tukar Rupiah/US$ dan Inflasi Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2000-2010. Economics Development Analysis Journal, 1(1).

Wu, C. Y. & Pandey, V. K., 2014. The Value of Bitcoin in Enhancing the Efficiency of an Investor's Portfolio. Journal of Financial Planning, 27(9).